HONG KONG (Reuters) – Hong Kong’s home prices dropped for the fifth consecutive month in September, official data showed on Tuesday, in a struggling property market that realtors expect to bottom out soon after an interest rate cut and the government’s easing policies.
WHY IT’S IMPORTANT
Housing demand in Hong Kong, one of the world’s most unaffordable cities, has lost steam since May after a short-lived bounce when all property purchase curbs were lifted in February. Realtors said much of the pent-up demand has been sated, while property developers launched new flats at steep discounts to boost sales.
The government this month also relaxed the down payment ratio to 30% for all properties, and allowed purchases of luxury homes worth more than HK$50 million ($6.43 million) to be included in its investment immigration scheme.
BY THE NUMBERS
Private home prices fell 1.7% in September from the month before.
Prices have dropped 7.5% since December.
They have tumbled 27.7% from their 2021 peak, staying at their lowest level since August 2016, hurt by higher mortgage rates, an outflow of professionals and a weak market outlook.
MARKET COMMENTS
“We may see residential prices bottoming out in the near term after five months of decline,” CBRE Hong Kong Executive Director Eddie Kwok said.
Knight Frank Senior Director Martin Wong expects prices to drop around 8% for the full year, as interest rates start to fall.
UBS expects home prices may rise up to 5% in 2025, driven by increased demand from mainland China and declining mortgage rates. The former British colony scrapped the extra stamp duty for foreign buyers in February.
CONTEXT
Hong Kong’s major banks including HSBC and Bank of China (Hong Kong) surprised the market in September by cutting their best lending rate in the city by 25 basis points, following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut.
Hong Kong’s currency is pegged to the U.S. dollar, but local banks make their own rate decisions depending on their funding costs.
($1 = 7.7708 Hong Kong dollars)